Kyrgyzstan is awaiting for another revolution?
This is a translation of the article that Mirsulzhan Namazaliev wrote for the Russian version of neweurasia.
Someone recently told me: “I hope that this spring Kyrgyzstan will not be on front pages of world newspapers because of the new unrest”.My reply to that was: “We’ll, probably, be featured not only be leading news outlets but somewhere in Africa as well, where they will be rejoicing the fact that speedy revolutions keep happening somewhere else besides African continent”.
Now the united front called “For the Future of Kyrgyzstan”, that was created after Felix Kulov announced that he decided to join Kyrgyz opposition, is demanding resignations of president Bakiev and calling on new presidential elections.
There are rumors around that the main activity of the front will be mass rallies in Bishkek. They are supposed to get started in March.
Erkin Bulebaev, one of the activists of the new movement and the leader of the Green Party in Kyrgyzstan recently announced :
“Our mass scale activities will start after the 8th of March (International Women’s day). We don’t want to do it before in order not to ruin the celebration for our women. ”
Keeping in mind that March 24th is the second anniversary of tulip revolution in Kyrgyzstan it is safe to assume that new united opposition will be using this day as a symbol, asking president Bakiev to report on his “achievements” after his 2 years of presidency.
It is expected, that this time rallies will be even better organized than those that took place in Bishkek in November 2006. United opposition nowadays has sufficient funds as well as a new charismatic leader- ex prime –minister Kulov. United Front has already got a new office, occupying a 4 storey building. Every room there is equipped and prepared to host new opposition activists.
According to a number of sources in opposition, the number of pretests this year will go as high as 100 000 people, many of them are disillusioned and desperately strive for change. Though, there are also people who are tired of constant revolutions and urge to wait till 2010, when next presidential elections are due. Kyrgyz society is split.
It is my humble opinion, though, that Felix Kulov has a big chance to win presidential elections in 2010. If nothing happens before that. At the moment, the time is acting in Kulov’s favor. All he needs is to get prepared, to solidify his team and to get rid of “allies” who strive to get more power. He needs to devise his anti crises program for the country. And to win.











